Matchup context
Home: Crystal Palace FC — 14th (P3 W1 D0 L2, GF 4 GA 8, 3 pts, form WLL). Last five: A Fulham FC 3-2 (W), H Manchester City FC 1-4 (L), A Everton FC 0-2 (L), H Arsenal FC 1-2 (L), A Brentford FC 2-2 (D). Rating: attack 0.91, defence 1.29 from 20 matches.
Away: Ipswich Town FC — 13th (P3 W1 D0 L2, GF 4 GA 8, 3 pts, form LLW). Last five: H Liverpool FC 0-2 (L), A Manchester United FC 2-5 (L), H Sunderland AFC 2-1 (W). Rating: attack 0.96, defence 1.36 from 3 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.89 vs 1.52; home 46.5% · draw 22.3% · away 31.3%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 66.1%; both teams to score 66.3%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 25 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-11 11:17 UTC): home 1.87 · draw 3.8 · away 4; over/under 2.5: 1.79/2.03.
