Matchup context
Home: Everton FC — 9th (P4 W1 D3 L0, GF 5 GA 3, 6 pts, form DDDW). Last five: A Tottenham Hotspur FC 0-0 (D), H Manchester United FC 2-2 (D), A AFC Bournemouth 1-1 (D), H Crystal Palace FC 2-0 (W), A Tottenham Hotspur FC 0-1 (L). Rating: attack 0.99, defence 1.00 from 20 matches.
Away: Ipswich Town FC — 10th (P4 W2 D0 L2, GF 7 GA 10, 6 pts, form WLLW). Last five: A Crystal Palace FC 3-2 (W), H Liverpool FC 0-2 (L), A Manchester United FC 2-5 (L), H Sunderland AFC 2-1 (W). Rating: attack 1.12, defence 1.34 from 4 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 2.02 vs 1.38; home 52.2% · draw 21.6% · away 26.3%; most likely score 2-1; over 2.5 goals 66%; both teams to score 65%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 24 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-18 11:17 UTC): home 1.775 · draw 3.875 · away 4.475; over/under 2.5: 1.71/2.13.