Matchup context
Home: Real Betis Balompié — 13th (P1 W1 D0 L0, GF 3 GA 2, 3 pts, form W). Last five: H CA Osasuna 5-2 (W), A RC Deportivo La Coruña 1-1 (D), H Getafe CF 1-0 (W), A Villarreal CF 2-1 (W), A Lille OSC 3-2 (W). Rating: attack 1.17, defence 0.93 from 20 matches.
Away: FC Porto — 29th (P1 W0 D0 L1, GF 0 GA 2, 0 pts, form L). Last five: H Manchester City FC 0-2 (L). Rating: attack 0.81, defence 1.05 from 1 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1 (domestic ratings)): expected goals 1.97 vs 0.87; home 62.9% · draw 21.1% · away 16%; most likely score 1-0; over 2.5 goals 54%; both teams to score 50.1%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 22 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-13 17:17 UTC): home 2.05 · draw 3.7 · away 3.47; over/under 2.5: 1.7/2.18.
