Matchup context
Home: SS Lazio — 2nd (P9 W8 D1 L0, GF 22 GA 7, 25 pts, form WWWWW). Last five: A US Sassuolo Calcio 6-2 (W), H Parma Calcio 1913 2-1 (W), A Juventus FC 3-0 (W), H AC Monza 3-1 (W), A Venezia FC 2-0 (W). Rating: attack 1.47, defence 0.85 from 20 matches.
Away: Cagliari Calcio — 11th (P9 W4 D1 L4, GF 8 GA 13, 13 pts, form LLLDW). Last five: A AS Roma 2-4 (L), H Bologna FC 1909 0-2 (L), A AC Monza 0-4 (L), H Juventus FC 1-1 (D), A Udinese Calcio 1-0 (W). Rating: attack 0.83, defence 1.16 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-02-21 Cagliari Calcio 0-0 SS Lazio; 2025-11-03 SS Lazio 2-0 Cagliari Calcio.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 2.29 vs 0.86; home 69.3% · draw 18% · away 12.7%; most likely score 2-0; over 2.5 goals 60.9%; both teams to score 52%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 23 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-31 11:17 UTC): home 1.44 · draw 4.55 · away 7.3; over/under 2.5: 1.82/2.