Matchup context
Home: Fulham FC — 15th (P9 W2 D3 L4, GF 9 GA 11, 9 pts, form DWWLD). Last five: A Aston Villa FC 1-1 (D), A Coventry City FC 1-0 (W), H Hull City AFC 1-0 (W), A Ipswich Town FC 1-2 (L), H Manchester United FC 1-1 (D). Rating: attack 0.78, defence 0.82 from 20 matches.
Away: Newcastle United FC — 13th (P9 W3 D2 L4, GF 12 GA 15, 11 pts, form LWLLW). Last five: H Everton FC 0-1 (L), A Crystal Palace FC 2-0 (W), H Aston Villa FC 0-1 (L), A Coventry City FC 1-4 (L), H Hull City AFC 2-1 (W). Rating: attack 0.95, defence 1.09 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-05-24 Fulham FC 2-0 Newcastle United FC; 2025-10-25 Newcastle United FC 2-1 Fulham FC.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.30 vs 0.95; home 44.4% · draw 28.2% · away 27.4%; most likely score 1-0; over 2.5 goals 39.1%; both teams to score 44.7%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 25 bookmakers, captured 2026-11-06 11:17 UTC): home 2.05 · draw 3.65 · away 3.45; over/under 2.5: 1.67/2.18.
