Matchup context
Home: RB Leipzig — 4th (P8 W5 D0 L3, GF 22 GA 11, 15 pts, form WWLWL). Last five: A FC Schalke 04 2-0 (W), H SV 07 Elversberg 4-0 (W), A FC Bayern München 1-6 (L), H Eintracht Frankfurt 6-0 (W), A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-2 (L). Rating: attack 1.33, defence 0.92 from 20 matches.
Away: FC Augsburg — 10th (P8 W2 D3 L3, GF 18 GA 15, 9 pts, form LDLDL). Last five: H SC Freiburg 1-2 (L), H 1. FC Union Berlin 1-1 (D), A SV 07 Elversberg 3-4 (L), H FC Bayern München 2-2 (D), A SV Werder Bremen 2-3 (L). Rating: attack 1.11, defence 1.12 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-03-07 RB Leipzig 2-1 FC Augsburg; 2025-10-25 FC Augsburg 0-6 RB Leipzig.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 2.75 vs 1.47; home 64.3% · draw 17% · away 18.8%; most likely score 2-1; over 2.5 goals 79.2%; both teams to score 72.1%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 23 bookmakers, captured 2026-11-06 11:17 UTC): home 1.44 · draw 5.16 · away 5.75; over/under 2.5: 1.26/3.8.