Matchup context
Home: Torino FC — 10th (P10 W4 D1 L5, GF 14 GA 16, 13 pts, form LLWWW). Last five: A Frosinone Calcio 0-2 (L), H Como 1907 1-3 (L), H AC Monza 3-2 (W), A Parma Calcio 1913 3-0 (W), H Udinese Calcio 2-1 (W). Rating: attack 1.09, defence 1.15 from 20 matches.
Away: US Lecce — 14th (P10 W3 D0 L7, GF 11 GA 21, 9 pts, form LLLWL). Last five: H Genoa CFC 1-2 (L), A Frosinone Calcio 1-5 (L), H Juventus FC 0-2 (L), A Udinese Calcio 3-0 (W), H Bologna FC 1909 1-2 (L). Rating: attack 0.86, defence 1.30 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-02-01 Torino FC 1-0 US Lecce; 2025-11-30 US Lecce 2-1 Torino FC.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.91 vs 1.22; home 53.4% · draw 22.3% · away 24.3%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 60.4%; both teams to score 60%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 24 bookmakers, captured 2026-11-06 11:17 UTC): home 1.8 · draw 3.65 · away 4.425; over/under 2.5: 1.93/1.9.