Matchup context
Home: RC Celta de Vigo — 12th (P11 W2 D6 L3, GF 10 GA 10, 12 pts, form LDWDW). Last five: A Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0-3 (L), H Real Betis Balompié 0-0 (D), H Deportivo Alavés 2-1 (W), A Elche CF 0-0 (D), H Real Racing Club de Santander 5-0 (W). Rating: attack 0.83, defence 0.84 from 20 matches.
Away: Levante UD — 18th (P11 W2 D4 L5, GF 16 GA 21, 10 pts, form LLWDD). Last five: H Club Atlético de Madrid 0-2 (L), A Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1-2 (L), H Athletic Club 3-1 (W), A RC Deportivo La Coruña 1-1 (D), H Sevilla FC 3-3 (D). Rating: attack 1.05, defence 1.20 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-05-12 RC Celta de Vigo 2-3 Levante UD; 2025-11-02 Levante UD 1-2 RC Celta de Vigo.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.58 vs 1.03; home 50.1% · draw 25.1% · away 24.8%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 48.6%; both teams to score 51.2%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 21 bookmakers, captured 2026-11-07 17:17 UTC): home 1.85 · draw 3.7 · away 4.15; over/under 2.5: 1.9/1.89.