Matchup context
Home: Villarreal CF — 11th (P11 W3 D3 L5, GF 15 GA 15, 12 pts, form LWDLW). Last five: H RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 0-1 (L), A Valencia CF 2-1 (W), H Elche CF 0-0 (D), A Real Madrid CF 0-1 (L), H Levante UD 3-1 (W). Rating: attack 1.08, defence 0.96 from 20 matches.
Away: Getafe CF — 15th (P11 W3 D3 L5, GF 8 GA 16, 12 pts, form WLDLW). Last five: H Sevilla FC 3-1 (W), A Athletic Club 0-4 (L), H Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1-1 (D), A FC Barcelona 0-3 (L), H Málaga CF 1-0 (W). Rating: attack 0.70, defence 0.98 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-02-14 Getafe CF 2-1 Villarreal CF; 2025-12-06 Villarreal CF 2-0 Getafe CF.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.67 vs 0.78; home 58.6% · draw 24.1% · away 17.3%; most likely score 1-0; over 2.5 goals 44.4%; both teams to score 44%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 21 bookmakers, captured 2026-11-07 17:17 UTC): home 1.43 · draw 4.6 · away 7.4; over/under 2.5: 1.79/2.03.