Matchup context
Home: Ipswich Town FC — 11th (P5 W2 D0 L3, GF 7 GA 11, 6 pts, form LWLLW). Last five: A Everton FC 0-1 (L), A Crystal Palace FC 3-2 (W), H Liverpool FC 0-2 (L), A Manchester United FC 2-5 (L), H Sunderland AFC 2-1 (W). Rating: attack 1.01, defence 1.25 from 5 matches.
Away: Fulham FC — 19th (P5 W0 D2 L3, GF 5 GA 8, 2 pts, form DDLLL). Last five: H Manchester United FC 1-1 (D), A Liverpool FC 0-0 (D), H Crystal Palace FC 2-3 (L), A Sunderland AFC 0-1 (L), H Chelsea FC 2-3 (L). Rating: attack 0.78, defence 0.96 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.47 vs 1.20; home 43.3% · draw 25.7% · away 31%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 50%; both teams to score 53.9%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 24 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-09 11:17 UTC): home 2.8 · draw 3.5 · away 2.45; over/under 2.5: 1.74/2.07.