Matchup context
Home: Fenerbahçe SK — 28th (P2 W0 D1 L1, GF 1 GA 7, 1 pts, form LD). Last five: A Aston Villa FC 0-6 (L), H AS Roma 1-1 (D). Rating: attack 0.80, defence 1.28 from 2 matches.
Away: SK Slavia Praha — 31st (P2 W0 D0 L2, GF 2 GA 5, 0 pts, form LL). Last five: A Sabah FK 0-2 (L), H Racing Club de Lens 2-3 (L), A Paphos FC 1-4 (L), H FC Barcelona 2-4 (L), A Tottenham Hotspur FC 0-3 (L). Rating: attack 0.64, defence 1.23 from 10 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 2.04 vs 1.25; home 55.6% · draw 21.3% · away 23.1%; most likely score 2-1; over 2.5 goals 63.7%; both teams to score 61.9%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 22 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-19 17:17 UTC): home 1.65 · draw 4.3 · away 4.9; over/under 2.5: 1.59/2.3.