Matchup context
Home: Como 1907 — 5th (P7 W4 D2 L1, GF 12 GA 7, 14 pts, form WDLWW). Last five: A ACF Fiorentina 3-1 (W), H AS Roma 0-0 (D), A Frosinone Calcio 0-2 (L), H Parma Calcio 1913 2-1 (W), A Genoa CFC 4-1 (W). Rating: attack 1.32, defence 0.78 from 20 matches.
Away: US Sassuolo Calcio — 13th (P7 W2 D2 L3, GF 12 GA 14, 8 pts, form LDLWD). Last five: A Frosinone Calcio 2-4 (L), H AC Milan 1-1 (D), A AC Monza 1-2 (L), H Juventus FC 3-2 (W), A Bologna FC 1909 2-2 (D). Rating: attack 1.13, defence 1.21 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-04-17 US Sassuolo Calcio 2-1 Como 1907; 2025-11-28 Como 1907 2-0 US Sassuolo Calcio.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 2.12 vs 1.04; home 61.9% · draw 20.3% · away 17.8%; most likely score 2-1; over 2.5 goals 61.2%; both teams to score 57%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 23 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-23 17:17 UTC): home 1.47 · draw 4.8 · away 6.17; over/under 2.5: 1.41/2.85.
