Matchup context
Home: Ipswich Town FC — 14th (P9 W3 D2 L4, GF 14 GA 18, 11 pts, form DDLWL). Last five: A Hull City AFC 2-2 (D), H Nottingham Forest FC 1-1 (D), A Manchester City FC 2-3 (L), H Fulham FC 2-1 (W), A Everton FC 0-1 (L). Rating: attack 1.09, defence 1.23 from 9 matches.
Away: AFC Bournemouth — 9th (P9 W3 D3 L3, GF 14 GA 13, 12 pts, form WWWLL). Last five: H Leeds United FC 2-0 (W), A Manchester United FC 3-0 (W), H Sunderland AFC 2-0 (W), A Chelsea FC 1-5 (L), H Liverpool FC 0-1 (L). Rating: attack 1.08, defence 0.89 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.48 vs 1.62; home 35.1% · draw 23.8% · away 41.1%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 59.9%; both teams to score 62%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 25 bookmakers, captured 2026-11-07 17:17 UTC): home 3.88 · draw 3.73 · away 1.92; over/under 2.5: 1.67/2.14.