Matchup context
Home: Nottingham Forest FC — 14th (P2 W0 D1 L1, GF 2 GA 3, 1 pts, form DL). Last five: A Liverpool FC 2-2 (D), H Leeds United FC 0-1 (L), H AFC Bournemouth 1-1 (D), A Manchester United FC 2-3 (L), H Newcastle United FC 1-1 (D). Rating: attack 1.13, defence 0.88 from 20 matches.
Away: Tottenham Hotspur FC — 19th (P2 W0 D0 L2, GF 0 GA 5, 0 pts, form LL). Last five: H Newcastle United FC 0-2 (L), A Brentford FC 0-3 (L), H Everton FC 1-0 (W), A Chelsea FC 1-2 (L), H Leeds United FC 1-1 (D). Rating: attack 0.76, defence 1.19 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-03-22 Tottenham Hotspur FC 0-3 Nottingham Forest FC; 2025-12-14 Nottingham Forest FC 3-0 Tottenham Hotspur FC.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 2.08 vs 0.81; home 66.8% · draw 19.7% · away 13.6%; most likely score 2-0; over 2.5 goals 55.4%; both teams to score 48.8%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 25 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-05 12:55 UTC): home 2.5 · draw 3.5 · away 2.8; over/under 2.5: 1.8/2.02.