Matchup context
Home: Tottenham Hotspur FC — 20th (P6 W0 D3 L3, GF 3 GA 9, 3 pts, form DLDDL). Last five: A Manchester United FC 1-1 (D), H Aston Villa FC 2-3 (L), H Everton FC 0-0 (D), A Nottingham Forest FC 0-0 (D), H Newcastle United FC 0-2 (L). Rating: attack 0.70, defence 1.06 from 20 matches.
Away: Coventry City FC — 16th (P6 W2 D0 L4, GF 5 GA 11, 6 pts, form WWLLL). Last five: H Newcastle United FC 4-1 (W), A Nottingham Forest FC 1-0 (W), H Brighton & Hove Albion FC 0-5 (L), A Manchester City FC 0-1 (L), H Hull City AFC 0-1 (L). Rating: attack 0.85, defence 1.15 from 6 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.24 vs 1.11; home 39.3% · draw 28% · away 32.8%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 41.6%; both teams to score 47.5%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 24 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-18 23:17 UTC): home 1.49 · draw 4.675 · away 6.285; over/under 2.5: 1.57/2.39.