Matchup context
Home: Cagliari Calcio — 7th (P7 W4 D1 L2, GF 6 GA 7, 13 pts, form LDWWW). Last five: A AC Monza 0-4 (L), H Juventus FC 1-1 (D), A Udinese Calcio 1-0 (W), A Atalanta BC 2-1 (W), H US Lecce 1-0 (W). Rating: attack 0.82, defence 0.99 from 20 matches.
Away: Bologna FC 1909 — 15th (P7 W1 D2 L4, GF 6 GA 10, 5 pts, form LWDLD). Last five: H FC Internazionale Milano 1-3 (L), A US Lecce 2-1 (W), H Torino FC 1-1 (D), A SSC Napoli 0-1 (L), H US Sassuolo Calcio 2-2 (D). Rating: attack 0.90, defence 1.05 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-05-03 Bologna FC 1909 0-0 Cagliari Calcio; 2025-10-19 Cagliari Calcio 0-2 Bologna FC 1909.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.13 vs 1.06; home 37.2% · draw 29.2% · away 33.6%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 37.5%; both teams to score 44.3%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 23 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-23 17:17 UTC): home 3.1 · draw 3.01 · away 2.45; over/under 2.5: 2.19/1.68.