Matchup context
Home: Real Betis Balompié — 4th (P10 W6 D2 L2, GF 16 GA 14, 20 pts, form DLWDW). Last five: A RC Celta de Vigo 0-0 (D), H FC Barcelona 2-5 (L), H CA Osasuna 5-2 (W), A RC Deportivo La Coruña 1-1 (D), H Getafe CF 1-0 (W). Rating: attack 1.13, defence 1.03 from 20 matches.
Away: Málaga CF — 20th (P10 W0 D5 L5, GF 7 GA 19, 5 pts, form DLDLL). Last five: A Deportivo Alavés 1-1 (D), H Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2-5 (L), H RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1-1 (D), A Getafe CF 0-1 (L), H Villarreal CF 1-3 (L). Rating: attack 0.74, defence 1.24 from 10 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 2.24 vs 0.88; home 68.3% · draw 18.4% · away 13.3%; most likely score 2-0; over 2.5 goals 60.3%; both teams to score 52.2%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 21 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-30 17:17 UTC): home 1.32 · draw 5.6 · away 8.4; over/under 2.5: 1.46/2.68.