Matchup context
Home: Elche CF — 16th (P10 W2 D4 L4, GF 14 GA 17, 10 pts, form WDDWL). Last five: A Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 3-0 (W), A Villarreal CF 0-0 (D), H RC Celta de Vigo 0-0 (D), A RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 3-1 (W), H Real Madrid CF 2-3 (L). Rating: attack 1.02, defence 0.98 from 20 matches.
Away: Valencia CF — 19th (P10 W1 D3 L6, GF 7 GA 17, 6 pts, form LDDLW). Last five: H Villarreal CF 1-2 (L), H Athletic Club 0-0 (D), A Real Racing Club de Santander 2-2 (D), H Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2-3 (L), A Deportivo Alavés 1-0 (W). Rating: attack 0.83, defence 1.11 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-04-11 Elche CF 1-0 Valencia CF; 2026-01-10 Valencia CF 1-1 Elche CF.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.82 vs 0.95; home 57.8% · draw 22.8% · away 19.4%; most likely score 1-0; over 2.5 goals 52.3%; both teams to score 51.4%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 20 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-31 23:17 UTC): home 2.325 · draw 3.375 · away 3.05; over/under 2.5: 1.92/1.89.