Matchup context
Home: Galatasaray SK — 24th (P3 W1 D0 L2, GF 6 GA 9, 3 pts, form WLL). Last five: A Lille OSC 4-2 (W), H FC Barcelona 1-4 (L), A Sporting Clube de Portugal 1-3 (L), A Liverpool FC 0-4 (L), H Liverpool FC 1-0 (W). Rating: attack 0.93, defence 1.09 from 15 matches.
Away: VfB Stuttgart — 6th (P3 W2 D1 L0, GF 7 GA 2, 7 pts, form DWW). Last five: A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4-2 (W), H Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-3 (L), H Club Atlético de Madrid 1-1 (D), A Hamburger SV 0-1 (L), A ŠK Slovan Bratislava 3-0 (W). Rating: attack 1.20, defence 1.04 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1 (domestic ratings)): expected goals 1.92 vs 1.93; home 39.2% · draw 21.2% · away 39.6%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 73.8%; both teams to score 72.9%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 22 bookmakers, captured 2026-11-02 23:17 UTC): home 2.18 · draw 4.1 · away 2.95; over/under 2.5: 1.37/3.1.