Matchup context
Home: Fulham FC — 16th (P2 W0 D0 L2, GF 2 GA 4, 0 pts, form LL). Last five: A Sunderland AFC 0-1 (L), H Chelsea FC 2-3 (L), H Newcastle United FC 2-0 (W), A Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-1 (D), H AFC Bournemouth 0-1 (L). Rating: attack 0.80, defence 0.94 from 20 matches.
Away: Crystal Palace FC — 18th (P2 W0 D0 L2, GF 1 GA 6, 0 pts, form LL). Last five: H Manchester City FC 1-4 (L), A Everton FC 0-2 (L), H Arsenal FC 1-2 (L), A Brentford FC 2-2 (D), A Manchester City FC 0-3 (L). Rating: attack 0.79, defence 1.27 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-01-01 Crystal Palace FC 1-1 Fulham FC; 2025-12-07 Fulham FC 1-2 Crystal Palace FC.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.56 vs 0.92; home 52.3% · draw 25.5% · away 22.2%; most likely score 1-0; over 2.5 goals 45%; both teams to score 47.4%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 25 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-05 12:55 UTC): home 2.2 · draw 3.33 · away 3.45; over/under 2.5: 1.95/1.85.