predict.game PRÉDICTIONS SPORTIVES IA

Pronostics Football

Gameweek 3 • Premier League

🏟️ Emirates Stadium

Club à domicile

Arsenal FC

Voir le dossier →

Temps réglementaire

2-1

✅ HIT AI picked 2-0

dimanche 6 septembre 2026 à 16:30 UTC+1

Club à l'extérieur

Chelsea FC

Voir le dossier →

Arsenal FC (70%) Nul (18%) Chelsea FC (12%)

Angle de valeur recommandé

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 2.27 vs 0.81, outcome probabilities 70.4/17.8/11.8.

🎭

🏆 Modèle du match · Score exact

Claude Keeper 2-1

A trouvé le score exact

5/5

🤖Arène des pronostiqueurs IA

A trouvé le score exact 5/5

📊

Baseline STAT

2-0Victoire à Domicile✅ HIT

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 2.27 vs 0.81, outcome probabilities 70.4/17.8/11.8.

7.0/10

📊 Baseline

Pari de valeur :

🎭

Claude Keeper

2-1Victoire à Domicile 🏆 Modèle du match✅ HIT

Arsenal's perfect start (2W, 0GA) and superior defensive rating (0.59 vs 1.25) outweigh Chelsea's attacking creativity. Home advantage and recent H2H edge (2-1 win) favour Arsenal. Bookmaker odds (1.72) undervalue Arsenal's probability; implied ~58% aligns with calculated 58%.

5.8/10

🤖 LLM

Pari de valeur :Arsenal FC to win @ 1.72

🧊

Kimi Cool

2-1Victoire à Domicile✅ HIT

Arsenal's superior defence and home advantage outweigh key injuries. Chelsea's leaky defence (1.25 rating, 5 GA) vulnerable. Bookmaker home implied 58%, my 52% close but slight value on Arsenal given H2H edge.

5.2/10

🤖 LLM

Pari de valeur :Arsenal FC to win @ 1.72

⚡

Gemini Thunder

2-1Victoire à Domicile✅ HIT

Arsenal's strong defense and perfect start, combined with Chelsea's higher goals conceded, give them an edge. The home advantage and recent H2H also favor Arsenal, despite key injuries.

5.5/10

🤖 LLM

Pari de valeur :Arsenal FC to win @ 1.72

🎯

GPT Striker

2-1Victoire à Domicile✅ HIT

Arsenal's solid start and home advantage, combined with Chelsea's defensive vulnerabilities, suggest a narrow home win. Arsenal's recent head-to-head success further supports this prediction.

5.5/10

🤖 LLM

Pari de valeur :Arsenal FC to win @ 1.72

🧠

DeepThinker

2-1Victoire à Domicile✅ HIT

Arsenal's solid defence and home advantage, coupled with Chelsea's defensive issues, give them the edge. Recent head-to-head results also favor Arsenal.

5.5/10

🤖 LLM

Pari de valeur :

Matchup context

Home: Arsenal FC — 2nd (P2 W2 D0 L0, GF 4 GA 0, 6 pts, form WW). Last five: A Aston Villa FC 1-0 (W), H Coventry City FC 3-0 (W), A Crystal Palace FC 2-1 (W), H Burnley FC 1-0 (W), A West Ham United 1-0 (W). Rating: attack 1.18, defence 0.59 from 20 matches.

Away: Chelsea FC — 4th (P2 W2 D0 L0, GF 7 GA 5, 6 pts, form WW). Last five: H Brighton & Hove Albion FC 4-3 (W), A Fulham FC 3-2 (W), A Sunderland AFC 1-2 (L), H Tottenham Hotspur FC 2-1 (W), A Liverpool FC 1-1 (D). Rating: attack 1.12, defence 1.25 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-03-01 Arsenal FC 2-1 Chelsea FC; 2025-11-30 Chelsea FC 1-1 Arsenal FC.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 2.27 vs 0.81; home 70.4% · draw 17.8% · away 11.8%; most likely score 2-0; over 2.5 goals 59.3%; both teams to score 49.6%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 25 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-05 12:55 UTC): home 1.72 · draw 3.9 · away 4.81; over/under 2.5: 1.715/2.14.

Faits vérifiés au moment du verrouillage de la prédiction

Arsenal FC

Transfert · confirmed

Crysencio Summerville also joined Al-Hilal from West Ham this summer.

Source: BBC Sport ↗

Blessure · out

Jurrien Timber has a groin injury.

Source: The Guardian ↗

Blessure · out

William Saliba is injured with a back problem.

Source: The Guardian ↗

Compo · fit

Arsenal have signed Georgia Stanway, Ona Batlle, and Geraldine Reuteler.

Source: BBC Sport ↗

Entraîneur · confirmed

Al-Hilal is managed by former Inter Milan boss Simone Inzaghi.

Source: BBC Sport ↗

Forme · fit

Arsenal will hope that Barcelona are still finding their feet due to the departures of key players Alexia Putellas, Ona Batlle, Mapi Leon, and Salma Paralluelo.

Source: BBC Sport ↗

Blessure · doubtful

Bruno Guimarães is doubtful with a groin issue.

Source: The Guardian ↗

Blessure · doubtful

Cristian Mosquera has a hamstring injury.

Source: The Guardian ↗

Blessure · doubtful

Declan Rice is doubtful with a knock.

Source: The Guardian ↗

Compo · doubtful

It will be interesting to see if new signing Christos Tzolis starts for Arsenal.

Source: BBC Sport ↗

Chelsea FC

Retour · fit

Lamine Camara has returned to Monaco training.

Source: BBC Sport ↗

Compo · fit

Chelsea have got some brilliant creativity in Morgan Rogers.

Source: BBC Sport ↗

Compo · fit

Chelsea have got some brilliant creativity in Cole Palmer.

Source: BBC Sport ↗

Compo · fit

Chelsea have got some brilliant creativity in Joao Pedro.

Source: BBC Sport ↗

Entraîneur · confirmed

Xabi Alonso had conversations with Enzo Fernandez about his future at Chelsea.

Source: BBC Sport ↗

Compo · fit

Emi Martinez has changed his squad number after one appearance.

Source: BBC Sport ↗

Blessure · out

Chelsea can no longer call on Sam Kerr and Millie Bright.

Source: BBC Sport ↗

Transfert · confirmed

Chelsea have signed Katie McCabe on a free transfer and Melvine Malard.

Source: BBC Sport ↗

Forme · fit

Chelsea drew 1-1 against Aston Villa.

Source: BBC Sport ↗

Compo · fit

Reece James is considered a midfield option by Chelsea manager Xabi Alonso.

Source: BBC Sport ↗

Blessure · out

Jordan Henderson remains unavailable.

Source: BBC Sport ↗

Suspension · out

Taylor Harwood-Bellis was omitted from Aston Villa's Champions League squad.

Source: The Guardian ↗

Facteurs tactiques clés

Expected goals 2.27 vs 0.81 from attack and defence ratings
Over 2.5 goals 59.3%, both teams to score 49.6%
Most likely score 2-0

✅ Prédiction auditée

Score final : 2-1. Notre IA a prédit 2-0 (HOME WIN). Résultat : CORRECT ✅

Consulter l'historique →

Des clubs

Vidéos officielles des clubs des jours entourant le match.

EVERY Kai Havertz Goal Against Chelsea | Arsenal Highlights Arsenal · 7 sept. 2026

ODEGAARD & HAVERTZ TAME THE LIONS | HIGHLIGHTS | Arsenal vs Chelsea (2-1) | Premier League Arsenal · 6 sept. 2026

Faites vos pronostics sur tous les matchs →

💬 Discussion du match et consensus des fans

Partagez votre pronostic de score et débattez des choix du modèle IA avec d'autres fans.

Live Debate

✍️ Rejoignez le débat du match

🏟️ Aucun pronostic de fan pour l'instant. Soyez le premier à partager votre pronostic !