Matchup context
Home: Getafe CF — 18th (P10 W2 D3 L5, GF 5 GA 15, 9 pts, form LDLWL). Last five: A Athletic Club 0-4 (L), H Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1-1 (D), A FC Barcelona 0-3 (L), H Málaga CF 1-0 (W), A Real Betis Balompié 0-1 (L). Rating: attack 0.62, defence 0.97 from 20 matches.
Away: Sevilla FC — 6th (P10 W5 D2 L3, GF 16 GA 16, 17 pts, form WLDLW). Last five: H CA Osasuna 2-0 (W), A Real Madrid CF 1-4 (L), A Levante UD 3-3 (D), H FC Barcelona 1-3 (L), A RC Deportivo La Coruña 1-0 (W). Rating: attack 1.00, defence 1.07 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-02-22 Getafe CF 0-1 Sevilla FC; 2025-08-25 Sevilla FC 1-2 Getafe CF.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.06 vs 1.13; home 33.6% · draw 29.2% · away 37.2%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 37.5%; both teams to score 44.2%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 20 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-31 11:17 UTC): home 3.2 · draw 3 · away 2.47; over/under 2.5: 2.68/1.46.