Matchup context
Home: Manchester United FC — 21st (P3 W1 D0 L2, GF 5 GA 6, 3 pts, form LLW). Last five: A Chelsea FC 0-2 (L), H AFC Bournemouth 0-3 (L), A Como 1907 1-4 (L), A Leeds United FC 1-1 (D), A Club Atlético de Madrid 0-2 (L). Rating: attack 1.00, defence 1.05 from 20 matches.
Away: AS Roma — 15th (P3 W1 D1 L1, GF 8 GA 5, 4 pts, form WLD). Last five: A Udinese Calcio 5-2 (W), H Cagliari Calcio 4-2 (W), A SSC Napoli 3-3 (D), H ŠK Slovan Bratislava 4-0 (W), H Genoa CFC 2-0 (W). Rating: attack 1.72, defence 0.87 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1 (domestic ratings)): expected goals 1.25 vs 2.21; home 20.8% · draw 20% · away 59.1%; most likely score 1-2; over 2.5 goals 67.1%; both teams to score 63.4%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 22 bookmakers, captured 2026-11-02 23:17 UTC): home 2.24 · draw 4.025 · away 2.835; over/under 2.5: 1.49/2.65.