Matchup context
Home: FC Schalke 04 — 11th (P3 W1 D1 L1, GF 3 GA 4, 4 pts, form WDL). Last five: A 1. FC Union Berlin 3-1 (W), H FC Bayern München 0-0 (D), A FC Augsburg 0-3 (L). Rating: attack 0.89, defence 0.91 from 3 matches.
Away: SV 07 Elversberg — 8th (P3 W2 D0 L1, GF 8 GA 7, 6 pts, form LWW). Last five: H FC Bayern München 1-2 (L), A Borussia Mönchengladbach 4-3 (W), H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3-2 (W). Rating: attack 1.19, defence 1.16 from 3 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.90 vs 1.58; home 45.5% · draw 22.1% · away 32.4%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 67.7%; both teams to score 67.6%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 23 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-19 17:17 UTC): home 2.05 · draw 3.62 · away 3.45; over/under 2.5: 1.52/2.5.