Matchup context
Home: Levante UD — 18th (P6 W1 D2 L3, GF 8 GA 12, 5 pts, form LLDWD). Last five: A Villarreal CF 1-3 (L), H FC Barcelona 2-4 (L), A Málaga CF 0-0 (D), H Real Betis Balompié 5-2 (W), A CA Osasuna 0-0 (D). Rating: attack 1.07, defence 1.16 from 20 matches.
Away: Sevilla FC — 5th (P7 W4 D1 L2, GF 10 GA 9, 13 pts, form LWWDL). Last five: H FC Barcelona 1-3 (L), A RC Deportivo La Coruña 1-0 (W), H Valencia CF 1-0 (W), A RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1-1 (D), H Club Atlético de Madrid 1-3 (L). Rating: attack 0.91, defence 1.01 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-04-23 Levante UD 2-0 Sevilla FC; 2026-01-04 Sevilla FC 0-3 Levante UD.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.74 vs 1.22; home 49.7% · draw 23.6% · away 26.7%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 56.7%; both teams to score 58%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 20 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-11 17:17 UTC): home 2.75 · draw 3.25 · away 2.62; over/under 2.5: 2.05/1.78.