Matchup context
Home: VfB Stuttgart — 13th (P6 W2 D0 L4, GF 8 GA 10, 6 pts, form LWLLW). Last five: A Hamburger SV 0-1 (L), A SC Paderborn 07 2-0 (W), H Borussia Dortmund 0-1 (L), A TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1-2 (L), H 1. FC Köln 4-1 (W). Rating: attack 1.12, defence 0.97 from 20 matches.
Away: Borussia Mönchengladbach — 18th (P6 W0 D0 L6, GF 8 GA 20, 0 pts, form LLLLL). Last five: H TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1-2 (L), A 1. FC Köln 1-2 (L), H 1. FSV Mainz 05 3-4 (L), A SC Freiburg 0-5 (L), H SV 07 Elversberg 3-4 (L). Rating: attack 0.88, defence 1.23 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-01-25 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-3 VfB Stuttgart; 2025-08-30 VfB Stuttgart 1-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 2.55 vs 1.24; home 65.8% · draw 17.5% · away 16.7%; most likely score 2-1; over 2.5 goals 72.8%; both teams to score 65.4%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 22 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-22 23:17 UTC): home 1.365 · draw 5.675 · away 6.975; over/under 2.5: 1.27/3.7.