Matchup context
Home: Real Sociedad de Fútbol — 5th (P9 W5 D1 L3, GF 17 GA 17, 16 pts, form WWWLW). Last five: A Málaga CF 5-2 (W), H RC Deportivo La Coruña 3-2 (W), A Valencia CF 3-2 (W), H Club Atlético de Madrid 0-3 (L), A Elche CF 3-2 (W). Rating: attack 1.29, defence 1.25 from 20 matches.
Away: Levante UD — 11th (P9 W2 D4 L3, GF 15 GA 17, 10 pts, form WDDLL). Last five: H Athletic Club 3-1 (W), A RC Deportivo La Coruña 1-1 (D), H Sevilla FC 3-3 (D), A Villarreal CF 1-3 (L), H FC Barcelona 2-4 (L). Rating: attack 1.18, defence 1.17 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-04-04 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2-0 Levante UD; 2025-12-20 Levante UD 1-1 Real Sociedad de Fútbol.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 2.41 vs 1.71; home 53.5% · draw 19.4% · away 27.2%; most likely score 2-1; over 2.5 goals 77.8%; both teams to score 74.5%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 20 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-24 17:17 UTC): home 1.6 · draw 4.4 · away 5.17; over/under 2.5: 1.56/2.4.