Matchup context
Home: Fulham FC — 19th (P4 W0 D1 L3, GF 4 GA 7, 1 pts, form DLLL). Last five: A Liverpool FC 0-0 (D), H Crystal Palace FC 2-3 (L), A Sunderland AFC 0-1 (L), H Chelsea FC 2-3 (L), H Newcastle United FC 2-0 (W). Rating: attack 0.80, defence 0.96 from 20 matches.
Away: Manchester United FC — 13th (P4 W1 D1 L2, GF 7 GA 7, 4 pts, form LDWL). Last five: H Manchester City FC 0-1 (L), A Everton FC 2-2 (D), H Ipswich Town FC 5-2 (W), A Hull City AFC 0-2 (L), A Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3-0 (W). Rating: attack 1.25, defence 0.96 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-02-01 Manchester United FC 3-2 Fulham FC; 2025-08-24 Fulham FC 1-1 Manchester United FC.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.17 vs 1.48; home 29.8% · draw 25.7% · away 44.4%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 49.3%; both teams to score 53.2%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 25 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-19 17:17 UTC): home 3.49 · draw 3.76 · away 2.01; over/under 2.5: 1.57/2.45.