Matchup context
Home: Borussia Mönchengladbach — 18th (P7 W1 D0 L6, GF 11 GA 22, 3 pts, form WLLLL). Last five: A VfB Stuttgart 3-2 (W), H TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1-2 (L), A 1. FC Köln 1-2 (L), H 1. FSV Mainz 05 3-4 (L), A SC Freiburg 0-5 (L). Rating: attack 0.95, defence 1.23 from 20 matches.
Away: SC Paderborn 07 — 13th (P7 W2 D2 L3, GF 6 GA 9, 8 pts, form WDLWL). Last five: H Hamburger SV 1-0 (W), A SV Werder Bremen 2-2 (D), H VfB Stuttgart 0-2 (L), H TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3-1 (W), A Borussia Dortmund 0-3 (L). Rating: attack 0.76, defence 0.90 from 7 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.58 vs 1.34; home 43% · draw 24.5% · away 32.5%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 55.8%; both teams to score 58.5%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 22 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-30 17:17 UTC): home 1.95 · draw 3.925 · away 3.465; over/under 2.5: 1.49/2.61.