Matchup context
Home: Everton FC — 7th (P9 W3 D4 L2, GF 9 GA 9, 13 pts, form WLLDW). Last five: A Newcastle United FC 1-0 (W), A Arsenal FC 0-2 (L), H Chelsea FC 0-2 (L), A Hull City AFC 2-2 (D), H Ipswich Town FC 1-0 (W). Rating: attack 0.91, defence 0.97 from 20 matches.
Away: Coventry City FC — 16th (P9 W3 D0 L6, GF 9 GA 16, 9 pts, form WLLWW). Last five: H Sunderland AFC 3-1 (W), H Fulham FC 0-1 (L), A Tottenham Hotspur FC 1-3 (L), H Newcastle United FC 4-1 (W), A Nottingham Forest FC 1-0 (W). Rating: attack 0.89, defence 1.16 from 9 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.60 vs 1.05; home 50.1% · draw 25% · away 24.9%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 49.4%; both teams to score 51.9%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 25 bookmakers, captured 2026-11-05 23:17 UTC): home 1.71 · draw 3.95 · away 4.72; over/under 2.5: 1.72/2.12.