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AFC Bournemouth v Brentford FC

Premier League · Runde 4 · Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth Hjemme
2–2 Sluttresultat Spådommen var 1–0 Bournemouth · BOM 1 av 5 tippet riktig
Brentford Borte
Bournemouth 48% Uavgjort 27% Brentford 25%

Tipsene

1 av 5 tippet riktig

Kampens modell GPT Striker, 1–1

  1. Claude Keeper

    Bournemouth forbedrer seg under Rose med nylig cupseier og offensiv form (Christies hattrick). Brentfords ligaplassering (5.) skjuler inkonsekvens – to uavgjorte kamper tyder på sårbarhet. Hjemmebanefordel og nylig momentum favoriserer Bournemouth til tross for Brentfords defensive soliditet. Oddsene undervurderer sannsynligheten for hjemmeseier.

    2–1
    BOM
  2. Kimi Cool

    Bournemouths nye manager-effekt, cupmomentum med Christies hattrick og hjemmebanefordel veier tyngre enn Brentfords solide start. Bookmakernes hjemmeodds på 2.48 (40%) undervurderer den reelle sannsynligheten.

    2–1
    BOM
  3. Gemini Thunder

    Bournemouth har vist forbedret form og offensiv kraft under sin nye manager, Marco Rose, med nøkkelspillere som bidrar med mål. Brentford, til tross for en høyere plassering, har nylige skadeproblemer og var heldige i sin siste kamp. Bournemouths hjemmebanefordel kan være avgjørende.

    2–1
    BOM
  4. GPT Striker

    Begge lag sliter med å vinne, der Bournemouth viser motstandskraft i uavgjorte kamper og Brentford opprettholder et solid forsvar. Innbyrdes oppgjør tyder på et sannsynlig uavgjort resultat.

    1–1
    TREFF Kampens modell
  5. DeepThinker

    Bournemouths nylige form viser motstandskraft med uavgjorte kamper mot sterke lag. Brentfords forsvar er solid, men Bournemouths hjemmebanefordel og nylige prestasjoner antyder en liten fordel.

    1–0
    BOM
  6. Baseline

    Statistikk, ikke en AI

    1–0
    BOM

Hva ledermodellen så

Poisson-baseline fra registrerte resultater: forventede mål 1.45 vs 0.97, utfallssannsynligheter 48.3/26.6/25.1.

Matchup context

Home: AFC Bournemouth — 15th (P3 W0 D2 L1, GF 4 GA 5, 2 pts, form DDL). Last five: A Newcastle United FC 2-2 (D), H Everton FC 1-1 (D), A Manchester City FC 1-2 (L), A Nottingham Forest FC 1-1 (D), H Manchester City FC 1-1 (D). Rating: attack 1.02, defence 0.82 from 20 matches.

Away: Brentford FC — 5th (P3 W1 D2 L0, GF 5 GA 2, 5 pts, form DDW). Last five: H Sunderland AFC 1-1 (D), A Leeds United FC 1-1 (D), H Tottenham Hotspur FC 3-0 (W), A Liverpool FC 1-1 (D), H Crystal Palace FC 2-2 (D). Rating: attack 0.97, defence 0.93 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-03-03 AFC Bournemouth 0-0 Brentford FC; 2025-12-27 Brentford FC 4-1 AFC Bournemouth.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.45 vs 0.97; home 48.3% · draw 26.6% · away 25.1%; most likely score 1-0; over 2.5 goals 43.4%; both teams to score 47.4%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 25 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-11 11:17 UTC): home 2.48 · draw 3.55 · away 2.7; over/under 2.5: 1.61/2.25.

Siden prognosen ble låst

Verifiserte fakta som kom etter at modellene hadde gitt sin vurdering.

AFC Bournemouth

  • Form · confirmed

    Bournemouth beat Leeds United 2-0 in the Premier League at the Vitality Stadium.

    Kilde: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Evanilson scored for Bournemouth, his fourth consecutive Premier League match with a goal.

    Kilde: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Bournemouth beat Leeds in gameweek nine with a lacklustre performance, according to a fan's view.

    Kilde: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    AFC Bournemouth beat Leeds United 2-0 at home in a Premier League match.

    Kilde: BBC Sport ↗

Brentford FC

  • Form · confirmed

    Brentford beat Nottingham Forest 2-0 in the Premier League, their first win in five matches.

    Kilde: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Thiago scored Brentford's second-half goal in the 2-0 win over Nottingham Forest.

    Kilde: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Brentford beat Nottingham Forest 2-0, ending a run of four league matches without a win.

    Kilde: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Brentford beat Nottingham Forest 2-0 at home.

    Kilde: Sky Sports ↗

Verifiserte fakta da tipset ble låst

AFC Bournemouth

  • Form · fit

    Alex Scott was influential for Bournemouth and played a key role in both of his side's goals.

    Kilde: BBC Sport ↗
  • Lagoppstilling · fit

    James Hill has become a very important player for manager Marco Rose.

    Kilde: BBC Sport ↗
  • Lagoppstilling · fit

    Tyler Adams made his first competitive start under coach Marco Rose.

    Kilde: BBC Sport ↗
  • Lagoppstilling · fit

    Marcus Tavernier scored for Bournemouth.

    Kilde: Sky Sports ↗
  • Suspensjon · out

    Daniel Jebbison was omitted from the Europa League squad.

    Kilde: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Ryan Christie scored a hat-trick in the last cup match.

    Kilde: BBC Sport ↗
  • Lagoppstilling · confirmed

    Ryan Christie scored a hat-trick for Bournemouth.

    Kilde: Sky Sports ↗
  • Lagoppstilling · confirmed

    Ben Doak provided an assist for Bournemouth.

    Kilde: Sky Sports ↗
  • Lagoppstilling · confirmed

    Rayan scored Bournemouth's fourth goal in stoppage time.

    Kilde: Sky Sports ↗
  • Lagoppstilling · confirmed

    Michele Di Gregorio was handed his debut as a starting goalkeeper for Bournemouth.

    Kilde: Sky Sports ↗
  • Trener · confirmed

    Marco Rose secured his first win as Bournemouth manager.

    Kilde: Sky Sports ↗
  • Lagoppstilling · confirmed

    Alvaro Rodriguez made his first start for Bournemouth as a striker.

    Kilde: Sky Sports ↗

Brentford FC

  • Trener · confirmed

    Keith Andrews is the head coach of Brentford.

    Kilde: BBC Sport ↗
  • Lagoppstilling · confirmed

    Brentford made a triple substitution at half-time, including Aaron Hickey, to change their team's dynamic.

    Kilde: The Guardian ↗
  • Skade · out

    Nathan Collins was substituted due to a calf strain.

    Kilde: The Guardian ↗
  • Lagoppstilling · fit

    Anthony had a tap-in ruled out for Brentford.

    Kilde: Sky Sports ↗
  • Skade · fit

    Kevin Schade was involved in a penalty incident where Jayden Bogle stood on his boot.

    Kilde: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Vitaly Janelt has been responsible for Brentford's increased aggression and pressing, making 10 fouls in four games and being booked in all three Premier League games.

    Kilde: Sky Sports ↗
  • Lagoppstilling

    Vitaly Janelt is expected to be in the firing line for fouls against Adam Scott and Justin Kluivert.

    Kilde: Sky Sports ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Brentford were lucky to get a point in their last match against Sunderland.

    Kilde: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · fit

    Igor Thiago had a headed chance saved by Robin Roefs.

    Kilde: The Guardian ↗
  • Lagoppstilling · fit

    Keane Lewis-Potter is expected to play for Brentford FC.

    Kilde: BBC Sport ↗

Nøkkel-faktorer

  • Forventede mål 1.45 vs 0.97 fra angreps- og forsvarsrangeringer
  • Over 2.5 mål 43.4%, begge lag scorer 47.4%
  • Mest sannsynlige resultat 1-0 gitt hjemmeseieren

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