Matchup context
Home: RC Deportivo La Coruña — 7th (P5 W2 D3 L0, GF 9 GA 6, 9 pts, form DWWDD). Last five: A Getafe CF 1-1 (D), A Villarreal CF 3-2 (W), H Valencia CF 3-1 (W), A Málaga CF 1-1 (D), H Elche CF 1-1 (D). Rating: attack 1.18, defence 0.93 from 5 matches.
Away: Sevilla FC — 6th (P5 W3 D1 L1, GF 8 GA 6, 10 pts, form WDLWW). Last five: H Valencia CF 1-0 (W), A RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1-1 (D), H Club Atlético de Madrid 1-3 (L), A Athletic Club 3-1 (W), H Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2-1 (W). Rating: attack 0.93, defence 0.98 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.83 vs 0.99; home 57.1% · draw 22.7% · away 20.2%; most likely score 1-0; over 2.5 goals 53.7%; both teams to score 52.9%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 19 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-15 05:17 UTC): home 2.48 · draw 3.1 · away 3.05; over/under 2.5: 2.2/1.65.