Matchup context
Home: RC Celta de Vigo — 17th (P6 W0 D4 L2, GF 3 GA 6, 4 pts, form DDDLL). Last five: H Málaga CF 1-1 (D), A Getafe CF 1-1 (D), A Real Sociedad de Fútbol 0-0 (D), H Athletic Club 0-2 (L), H CA Osasuna 1-2 (L). Rating: attack 0.83, defence 0.94 from 20 matches.
Away: Real Racing Club de Santander — 10th (P6 W2 D1 L3, GF 11 GA 16, 7 pts, form LWLWL). Last five: A FC Barcelona 2-7 (L), H Deportivo Alavés 2-1 (W), A Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2-3 (L), H Elche CF 3-2 (W), A Getafe CF 0-1 (L). Rating: attack 1.18, defence 1.53 from 6 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 2.02 vs 1.27; home 54.6% · draw 21.5% · away 23.9%; most likely score 2-1; over 2.5 goals 63.9%; both teams to score 62.4%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 20 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-18 17:17 UTC): home 1.82 · draw 3.975 · away 4.05; over/under 2.5: 1.65/2.2.