Matchup context
Home: Genoa CFC — 17th (P7 W1 D1 L5, GF 5 GA 13, 4 pts, form LWLDL). Last five: A AS Roma 0-2 (L), H ACF Fiorentina 2-1 (W), A Parma Calcio 1913 1-2 (L), H Frosinone Calcio 1-1 (D), H Como 1907 1-4 (L). Rating: attack 0.73, defence 1.11 from 20 matches.
Away: Venezia FC — 20th (P7 W1 D0 L6, GF 6 GA 16, 3 pts, form WLLLL). Last five: H SSC Napoli 1-0 (W), A Atalanta BC 1-3 (L), H SS Lazio 0-2 (L), H ACF Fiorentina 2-4 (L), A Frosinone Calcio 2-3 (L). Rating: attack 0.84, defence 1.42 from 7 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.38 vs 1.11; home 43% · draw 26.8% · away 30.3%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 45.4%; both teams to score 50.2%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 23 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-24 17:17 UTC): home 2.14 · draw 3.25 · away 3.55; over/under 2.5: 1.98/1.85.