Matchup context
Home: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona — 14th (P11 W3 D2 L6, GF 13 GA 14, 11 pts, form WLLDL). Last five: A Villarreal CF 1-0 (W), A Real Racing Club de Santander 1-2 (L), H Club Atlético de Madrid 0-1 (L), A Málaga CF 1-1 (D), H Elche CF 1-3 (L). Rating: attack 0.84, defence 0.92 from 20 matches.
Away: RC Deportivo La Coruña — 8th (P11 W3 D5 L3, GF 15 GA 14, 14 pts, form WLDLD). Last five: H CA Osasuna 2-1 (W), A Club Atlético de Madrid 0-1 (L), H Levante UD 1-1 (D), A Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2-3 (L), H Real Betis Balompié 1-1 (D). Rating: attack 0.96, defence 0.97 from 11 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.30 vs 1.02; home 42.8% · draw 27.9% · away 29.3%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 40.9%; both teams to score 46.5%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 21 bookmakers, captured 2026-11-06 11:17 UTC): home 2.3 · draw 3.25 · away 3.2; over/under 2.5: 2.02/1.8.