Matchup context
Home: Tottenham Hotspur FC — 17th (P3 W0 D1 L2, GF 0 GA 5, 1 pts, form DLL). Last five: A Nottingham Forest FC 0-0 (D), H Newcastle United FC 0-2 (L), A Brentford FC 0-3 (L), H Everton FC 1-0 (W), A Chelsea FC 1-2 (L). Rating: attack 0.71, defence 1.10 from 20 matches.
Away: Everton FC — 8th (P3 W1 D2 L0, GF 5 GA 3, 5 pts, form DDW). Last five: H Manchester United FC 2-2 (D), A AFC Bournemouth 1-1 (D), H Crystal Palace FC 2-0 (W), A Tottenham Hotspur FC 0-1 (L), H Sunderland AFC 1-3 (L). Rating: attack 1.05, defence 1.06 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-05-24 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1-0 Everton FC; 2025-10-26 Everton FC 0-3 Tottenham Hotspur FC.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.15 vs 1.41; home 30.7% · draw 26.4% · away 43%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 47%; both teams to score 51.5%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 25 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-11 17:17 UTC): home 2.01 · draw 3.55 · away 3.64; over/under 2.5: 1.9/1.9.