Matchup context
Home: RC Celta de Vigo — 8th (P9 W2 D5 L2, GF 10 GA 7, 11 pts, form WDWDD). Last five: H Deportivo Alavés 2-1 (W), A Elche CF 0-0 (D), H Real Racing Club de Santander 5-0 (W), H Málaga CF 1-1 (D), A Getafe CF 1-1 (D). Rating: attack 0.95, defence 0.83 from 20 matches.
Away: Real Betis Balompié — 4th (P9 W6 D1 L2, GF 16 GA 14, 19 pts, form LWDWW). Last five: H FC Barcelona 2-5 (L), H CA Osasuna 5-2 (W), A RC Deportivo La Coruña 1-1 (D), H Getafe CF 1-0 (W), A Villarreal CF 2-1 (W). Rating: attack 1.18, defence 1.10 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-03-15 Real Betis Balompié 1-1 RC Celta de Vigo; 2025-08-27 RC Celta de Vigo 1-1 Real Betis Balompié.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.69 vs 1.14; home 50% · draw 24.1% · away 25.9%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 53.7%; both teams to score 55.5%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 20 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-24 17:17 UTC): home 3.075 · draw 3.5 · away 2.25; over/under 2.5: 1.74/2.06.