Matchup context
Home: Hull City AFC — 10th (P8 W2 D4 L2, GF 9 GA 8, 10 pts, form DLDLD). Last five: H Brentford FC 1-1 (D), A Fulham FC 0-1 (L), H Everton FC 2-2 (D), A Newcastle United FC 1-2 (L), A Chelsea FC 2-2 (D). Rating: attack 0.89, defence 0.88 from 8 matches.
Away: Ipswich Town FC — 12th (P8 W3 D1 L4, GF 12 GA 16, 10 pts, form DLWLW). Last five: H Nottingham Forest FC 1-1 (D), A Manchester City FC 2-3 (L), H Fulham FC 2-1 (W), A Everton FC 0-1 (L), A Crystal Palace FC 3-2 (W). Rating: attack 1.04, defence 1.23 from 8 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.66 vs 1.13; home 49.8% · draw 24.4% · away 25.8%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 52.6%; both teams to score 54.6%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 25 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-30 17:17 UTC): home 2.62 · draw 3.35 · away 2.7; over/under 2.5: 1.85/1.975.