Matchup context
Home: Leeds United FC — 12th (P9 W2 D5 L2, GF 9 GA 8, 11 pts, form LDDLD). Last five: A AFC Bournemouth 0-2 (L), A Sunderland AFC 0-0 (D), H Manchester United FC 1-1 (D), A Arsenal FC 1-2 (L), H Crystal Palace FC 0-0 (D). Rating: attack 0.82, defence 0.79 from 20 matches.
Away: Tottenham Hotspur FC — 9th (P9 W3 D3 L3, GF 10 GA 10, 12 pts, form WWWDL). Last five: H Crystal Palace FC 2-0 (W), A Chelsea FC 2-0 (W), H Coventry City FC 3-1 (W), A Manchester United FC 1-1 (D), H Aston Villa FC 2-3 (L). Rating: attack 0.90, defence 0.88 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-05-11 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1-1 Leeds United FC; 2025-10-04 Leeds United FC 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur FC.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.10 vs 0.86; home 40.9% · draw 30.9% · away 28.2%; most likely score 1-0; over 2.5 goals 31.4%; both teams to score 38.6%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 25 bookmakers, captured 2026-11-06 11:17 UTC): home 2.74 · draw 3.35 · away 2.6; over/under 2.5: 1.93/1.865.