Matchup context
Home: Real Madrid CF — 5th (P0 W0 D0 L0, GF 0 GA 0, 0 pts). Last five: A Real Betis Balompié 0-1 (L), H Málaga CF 4-0 (W), H Real Sociedad de Fútbol 4-1 (W), A RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 2-1 (W), H Athletic Club 4-2 (W). Rating: attack 1.21, defence 0.93 from 14 matches.
Away: FC Internazionale Milano — 6th (P0 W0 D0 L0, GF 0 GA 0, 0 pts). Last five: H SSC Napoli 3-2 (W), A Cagliari Calcio 1-0 (W), H AC Monza 4-1 (W), A Bologna FC 1909 3-3 (D), H Hellas Verona FC 1-1 (D). Rating: attack 0.94, defence 0.86 from 10 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 2.11 vs 1.30; home 56% · draw 20.9% · away 23.1%; most likely score 2-1; over 2.5 goals 66.1%; both teams to score 63.8%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 23 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-07 23:17 UTC): home 1.61 · draw 4.5 · away 5.05; over/under 2.5: 1.44/2.82.