Matchup context
Home: Fulham FC — 20th (P6 W0 D2 L4, GF 6 GA 10, 2 pts, form LDDLL). Last five: A Ipswich Town FC 1-2 (L), H Manchester United FC 1-1 (D), A Liverpool FC 0-0 (D), H Crystal Palace FC 2-3 (L), A Sunderland AFC 0-1 (L). Rating: attack 0.77, defence 0.96 from 20 matches.
Away: Hull City AFC — 8th (P6 W2 D3 L1, GF 8 GA 6, 9 pts, form DLDDW). Last five: H Everton FC 2-2 (D), A Newcastle United FC 1-2 (L), A Chelsea FC 2-2 (D), H Aston Villa FC 0-0 (D), A Coventry City FC 1-0 (W). Rating: attack 0.99, defence 0.90 from 6 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.07 vs 1.17; home 33% · draw 28.7% · away 38.3%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 38.9%; both teams to score 45.4%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 25 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-16 11:17 UTC): home 1.71 · draw 3.95 · away 4.75; over/under 2.5: 1.75/2.08.