Matchup context
Home: Coventry City FC — 17th (P7 W2 D0 L5, GF 6 GA 14, 6 pts, form LWWLL). Last five: A Tottenham Hotspur FC 1-3 (L), H Newcastle United FC 4-1 (W), A Nottingham Forest FC 1-0 (W), H Brighton & Hove Albion FC 0-5 (L), A Manchester City FC 0-1 (L). Rating: attack 0.85, defence 1.22 from 7 matches.
Away: Fulham FC — 18th (P7 W1 D2 L4, GF 7 GA 10, 5 pts, form WLDDL). Last five: H Hull City AFC 1-0 (W), A Ipswich Town FC 1-2 (L), H Manchester United FC 1-1 (D), A Liverpool FC 0-0 (D), H Crystal Palace FC 2-3 (L). Rating: attack 0.77, defence 0.90 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.18 vs 1.17; home 36.3% · draw 28% · away 35.7%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 41.6%; both teams to score 47.7%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 24 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-23 17:17 UTC): home 3.15 · draw 3.495 · away 2.275; over/under 2.5: 1.75/2.08.