Matchup context
Home: Tottenham Hotspur FC — 14th (P8 W2 D3 L3, GF 8 GA 10, 9 pts, form WWDLD). Last five: A Chelsea FC 2-0 (W), H Coventry City FC 3-1 (W), A Manchester United FC 1-1 (D), H Aston Villa FC 2-3 (L), H Everton FC 0-0 (D). Rating: attack 0.86, defence 0.96 from 20 matches.
Away: Crystal Palace FC — 17th (P8 W2 D1 L5, GF 9 GA 19, 7 pts, form LLWDL). Last five: H Newcastle United FC 0-2 (L), A Brighton & Hove Albion FC 0-5 (L), H Nottingham Forest FC 3-1 (W), A Leeds United FC 0-0 (D), H Ipswich Town FC 2-3 (L). Rating: attack 0.85, defence 1.36 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-03-05 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1-3 Crystal Palace FC; 2025-12-28 Crystal Palace FC 0-1 Tottenham Hotspur FC.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.78 vs 1.01; home 55.7% · draw 23.2% · away 21.1%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 52.8%; both teams to score 52.8%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 25 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-30 17:17 UTC): home 1.57 · draw 4.35 · away 5.32; over/under 2.5: 1.605/2.285.