Matchup context
Home: RC Deportivo La Coruña — 8th (P8 W2 D4 L2, GF 12 GA 11, 10 pts, form LDLDW). Last five: A Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2-3 (L), H Real Betis Balompié 1-1 (D), H Sevilla FC 0-1 (L), A Getafe CF 1-1 (D), A Villarreal CF 3-2 (W). Rating: attack 1.04, defence 1.02 from 8 matches.
Away: Levante UD — 17th (P7 W1 D3 L3, GF 11 GA 15, 6 pts, form DLLDW). Last five: H Sevilla FC 3-3 (D), A Villarreal CF 1-3 (L), H FC Barcelona 2-4 (L), A Málaga CF 0-0 (D), H Real Betis Balompié 5-2 (W). Rating: attack 1.14, defence 1.21 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 2.03 vs 1.34; home 53.3% · draw 21.5% · away 25.2%; most likely score 2-1; over 2.5 goals 65.5%; both teams to score 64.2%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 21 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-15 23:17 UTC): home 2.05 · draw 3.45 · away 3.56; over/under 2.5: 1.92/1.89.