Matchup context
Home: Hull City AFC — 10th (P7 W2 D3 L2, GF 8 GA 7, 9 pts, form LDLDD). Last five: A Fulham FC 0-1 (L), H Everton FC 2-2 (D), A Newcastle United FC 1-2 (L), A Chelsea FC 2-2 (D), H Aston Villa FC 0-0 (D). Rating: attack 0.90, defence 0.87 from 7 matches.
Away: Brentford FC — 6th (P7 W2 D4 L1, GF 13 GA 8, 10 pts, form LDWDD). Last five: H Liverpool FC 1-2 (L), A Aston Villa FC 2-2 (D), H Chelsea FC 3-0 (W), A AFC Bournemouth 2-2 (D), H Sunderland AFC 1-1 (D). Rating: attack 1.07, defence 0.96 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.34 vs 1.16; home 41% · draw 26.9% · away 32.2%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 45.5%; both teams to score 50.6%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 25 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-24 17:17 UTC): home 4.63 · draw 4 · away 1.72; over/under 2.5: 1.65/2.2.