Matchup context
Home: Sevilla FC — 6th (P9 W4 D2 L3, GF 14 GA 16, 14 pts, form LDLWW). Last five: A Real Madrid CF 1-4 (L), A Levante UD 3-3 (D), H FC Barcelona 1-3 (L), A RC Deportivo La Coruña 1-0 (W), H Valencia CF 1-0 (W). Rating: attack 0.99, defence 1.17 from 20 matches.
Away: CA Osasuna — 12th (P9 W3 D2 L4, GF 10 GA 18, 11 pts, form WLDLL). Last five: H Real Racing Club de Santander 2-0 (W), A Real Betis Balompié 2-5 (L), H Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1-1 (D), A Club Atlético de Madrid 0-4 (L), H RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 0-2 (L). Rating: attack 0.86, defence 1.29 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-04-26 CA Osasuna 2-1 Sevilla FC; 2025-11-08 Sevilla FC 1-0 CA Osasuna.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 2.03 vs 1.17; home 57.2% · draw 21.3% · away 21.5%; most likely score 2-1; over 2.5 goals 62%; both teams to score 59.9%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 20 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-25 23:17 UTC): home 1.91 · draw 3.425 · away 4.25; over/under 2.5: 2.12/1.71.