Matchup context
Home: SC Paderborn 07 — 14th (P8 W2 D3 L3, GF 6 GA 9, 9 pts, form DWDLW). Last five: A Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 (D), H Hamburger SV 1-0 (W), A SV Werder Bremen 2-2 (D), H VfB Stuttgart 0-2 (L), H TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3-1 (W). Rating: attack 0.71, defence 0.81 from 8 matches.
Away: Eintracht Frankfurt — 8th (P8 W3 D2 L3, GF 13 GA 18, 11 pts, form WLWLD). Last five: H Hamburger SV 3-1 (W), A Borussia Dortmund 0-1 (L), H 1. FC Köln 1-0 (W), A RB Leipzig 0-6 (L), H SC Freiburg 2-2 (D). Rating: attack 0.94, defence 1.13 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.47 vs 1.10; home 45.5% · draw 26% · away 28.5%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 47.4%; both teams to score 51.4%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 23 bookmakers, captured 2026-11-06 11:17 UTC): home 3 · draw 3.75 · away 2.15; over/under 2.5: 1.48/2.62.