Matchup context
Home: FC Internazionale Milano — 3rd (P3 W3 D0 L0, GF 8 GA 3, 9 pts, form WWW). Last five: H SSC Napoli 3-2 (W), A Cagliari Calcio 1-0 (W), H AC Monza 4-1 (W), A Bologna FC 1909 3-3 (D), H Hellas Verona FC 1-1 (D). Rating: attack 1.74, defence 0.93 from 20 matches.
Away: Udinese Calcio — 13th (P3 W1 D1 L1, GF 5 GA 5, 4 pts, form LWD). Last five: H SS Lazio 1-2 (L), A AC Monza 3-2 (W), H Como 1907 1-1 (D), A SSC Napoli 0-1 (L), H US Cremonese 0-1 (L). Rating: attack 1.08, defence 0.90 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-01-17 Udinese Calcio 0-1 FC Internazionale Milano; 2025-08-31 FC Internazionale Milano 1-2 Udinese Calcio.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 2.03 vs 1.19; home 56.7% · draw 21.3% · away 21.9%; most likely score 2-1; over 2.5 goals 62.3%; both teams to score 60.4%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 24 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-13 17:17 UTC): home 1.25 · draw 6.17 · away 11.5; over/under 2.5: 1.5/2.52.