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足球比分预测

Gameweek 7 • La Liga

🏟️ Estadio El Sadar

CA Osasuna

主队

9月19日周六 GMT+2 14:00

2-1

预测赛果

Home Win (4.2/10)

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

客队

CA Osasuna (42%) 平局 (28%) Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (30%)

推荐价值投注

CA Osasuna to win @ 2.38

奥萨苏纳在历史交锋中占据优势，布迪米尔状态火热，这盖过了防守上的弱点。巴列卡诺的停赛削弱了他们的实力。主胜的赔率（2.38）隐含的42%胜率来看，具有价值。

🤖AI专家预测擂台

✓ 5/5 共识

📊

Baseline STAT

1-2客胜 CONTRARIAN

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.43 vs 1.56, outcome probabilities 35.1/24.3/40.6.

4.1/10

📊 基准模型

价值推介:

🎭

Claude Keeper

1-0主胜

奥萨苏纳主场作战，历史交锋记录占优，布迪米尔状态火爆。巴列卡诺 extensive injury/suspension list and managerial transition outweigh their attacking capability. 庄家开出的赔率（2.38）低估了主胜的可能性。双方防守端都存在漏洞，预计会有一定的进球数。

3.8/10

🤖 LLM

价值推介:CA Osasuna to win @ 2.38

🧊

Kimi Cool

2-1主胜

奥萨苏纳在历史交锋中占据优势，布迪米尔状态火热，这盖过了防守上的弱点。巴列卡诺的停赛削弱了他们的实力。主胜的赔率（2.38）隐含的42%胜率来看，具有价值。

4.2/10

🤖 LLM

价值推介:CA Osasuna to win @ 2.38

⚡

Gemini Thunder

2-1主胜

奥萨苏纳拥有强大的历史交锋记录，布迪米尔状态正佳。巴列卡诺因多名球员停赛和伤病而受到影响，这应该会给奥萨苏纳在主场带来优势，尽管他们近期防守不稳。

4.5/10

🤖 LLM

价值推介:CA Osasuna to win @ 2.38

🎯

GPT Striker

2-1主胜

奥萨苏纳近期表现有所改善，并且在与巴列卡诺的历史交锋中占据优势。巴列卡诺因停赛造成的防守问题可能在这场比赛中至关重要。

4.5/10

🤖 LLM

价值推介:CA Osasuna to win @ 2.38

🧠

DeepThinker

1-0主胜

奥萨苏纳主场对阵巴列卡诺的记录强劲，尽管近期失利，但他们的主场状态和巴列卡诺的防守漏洞预示着一场主队小胜。

4.5/10

🤖 LLM

价值推介:CA Osasuna to win @ 2.38

Matchup context

Home: CA Osasuna — 13th (P6 W2 D1 L3, GF 5 GA 12, 7 pts, form LLLWW). Last five: A Club Atlético de Madrid 0-4 (L), H RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 0-2 (L), A Deportivo Alavés 2-5 (L), H Getafe CF 1-0 (W), A RC Celta de Vigo 2-1 (W). Rating: attack 0.79, defence 1.26 from 20 matches.

Away: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — 11th (P6 W2 D1 L3, GF 10 GA 15, 7 pts, form WLWLD). Last five: H RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 2-1 (W), A Real Madrid CF 1-4 (L), H Real Racing Club de Santander 3-2 (W), A FC Barcelona 2-5 (L), H Deportivo Alavés 1-1 (D). Rating: attack 1.08, defence 1.14 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-01-24 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1-3 CA Osasuna; 2025-09-14 CA Osasuna 2-0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.43 vs 1.56; home 35.1% · draw 24.3% · away 40.6%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 57.5%; both teams to score 60.1%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 21 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-18 11:17 UTC): home 2.38 · draw 3.28 · away 3.05; over/under 2.5: 2.06/1.78.

自预测锁定以来

模型做出预测后验证的事实。

CA Osasuna

阵容 · confirmed

Osasuna is expected to return to their usual starting lineup.

来源: Marca ↗

复出 · fit

Jorge de Frutos returns for Osasuna.

来源: Marca ↗

预测锁定时的已核实事实

CA Osasuna

阵容 · confirmed

Ante Budimir was noted as being a colossal player despite the team's defensive tragedy.

来源: Marca ↗

阵容 · confirmed

Pablo Ibáñez scored a goal for the opposition, which was described as a 'handful' and a disappointment.

来源: Marca ↗

伤病 · out

Valentin Rosier is out due to a muscle injury.

来源: Marca ↗

伤病 · out

Aimar Oroz is out due to injury.

来源: Marca ↗

伤病 · out

Jorge Herrando is out due to injury.

来源: Marca ↗

状态 · confirmed

Ante Budimir has scored four goals in four matches for Osasuna.

来源: Marca ↗

伤病 · out

Moi Gómez is out due to a minor left hamstring injury and could be sidelined for one to three weeks.

来源: Marca ↗

状态 · confirmed

Rubén García scored a goal that was later disallowed because the ball had gone out of play.

来源: Marca ↗

状态 · confirmed

A penalty was not awarded to Raúl.

来源: Marca ↗

状态 · confirmed

Rockson Yeboah made errors that led to goals.

来源: Marca ↗

状态 · confirmed

Catena made errors that led to goals.

来源: Marca ↗

转会 · confirmed

Braulio Vázquez has departed from Osasuna.

来源: Marca ↗

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

停赛 · out

Iban Fagoaga Aguirre is suspended for the next match due to a red card.

来源: Marca ↗

转会 · confirmed

Marash Kumbulla is on loan from Roma.

来源: Marca ↗

伤病 · out

Luiz Felipe is injured and unavailable for Rayo Vallecano.

来源: Marca ↗

停赛 · out

Fran Perez is suspended and out for Rayo Vallecano.

来源: Marca ↗

伤病 · out

Randy Ntekja is injured and out for Rayo Vallecano.

来源: Marca ↗

停赛 · out

Jorge de Frutos is suspended and out for Rayo Vallecano.

来源: Marca ↗

伤病 · out

Isi Palazón is injured and out for Rayo Vallecano.

来源: Marca ↗

主帅 · confirmed

Rafa Iriondo was signed as the new coach for Rayo Vallecano.

来源: Marca ↗

阵容 · fit

Florian Lejeune conceded a penalty against Real Madrid.

来源: Marca ↗

阵容 · fit

Emil Audero debuted as a starting goalkeeper for Rayo Vallecano.

来源: Marca ↗

复出 · fit

Fran Perez returns from suspension for Rayo Vallecano.

来源: Marca ↗

复出 · fit

Marash Kumbulla is back in the squad for Rayo Vallecano.

来源: Marca ↗

关键战术因素

奥萨苏纳最近两次交锋分别以3-1和2-0获胜
布迪米尔在4场比赛中打入4球
巴列卡诺缺少3名停赛球员，包括Jorge de Frutos

公开审计承诺

本预测在开赛前已通过时间戳加密记录。赛后，审计代理将在公开账本上评估预测准确性。

查看历史战绩 →

来自俱乐部

比赛期间的官方俱乐部视频。

Jugadores de Osasuna y Rayo Vallecano saltan al césped de El Sadar Club Atlético Osasuna · 2026年9月19日

Vestuario de Osasuna en los instantes previos al partido contra el Rayo Vallecano Club Atlético Osasuna · 2026年9月19日

预测 CA Osasuna 对 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

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