Matchup context
Home: Hull City AFC — 10th (P5 W2 D2 L1, GF 6 GA 4, 8 pts, form LDDWW). Last five: A Newcastle United FC 1-2 (L), A Chelsea FC 2-2 (D), H Aston Villa FC 0-0 (D), A Coventry City FC 1-0 (W), H Manchester United FC 2-0 (W). Rating: attack 0.95, defence 0.82 from 5 matches.
Away: Everton FC — 8th (P5 W2 D3 L0, GF 6 GA 3, 9 pts, form WDDDW). Last five: H Ipswich Town FC 1-0 (W), A Tottenham Hotspur FC 0-0 (D), H Manchester United FC 2-2 (D), A AFC Bournemouth 1-1 (D), H Crystal Palace FC 2-0 (W). Rating: attack 0.97, defence 0.95 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.37 vs 0.98; home 45.7% · draw 27.3% · away 27%; most likely score 1-0; over 2.5 goals 41.9%; both teams to score 46.8%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 24 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-10 11:17 UTC): home 3.6 · draw 3.4 · away 2.1; over/under 2.5: 2/1.82.